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Tuesday - Is it a safe time to invest?

  Volatility has always been creeping into the stock market, and when you see the results you think it wasn't bad for the investors after all. If you are a long term investor, you shouldn't be worried about a market that can be choppy sometimes.  Crypto currencies and Bitcoin can be scary to invest in, but you need to be aware of it. These days with the inflations going on, it seems it's the best time to give it a real test. Specially now that the stock market is under pressure, and the employment rates aren't looking good, there is no excuse for Crypto not to rise, unless the sharks aren't buying into it. Coinbaise has pledged to a smooth UI for NFTs, just like they provided one for Crypto. This is while the stock valuation of COIN is down over 27% since the starting point. GitLab announces share sell price of $66 for IPO which is much higher than what was proposed earlier. Let me know what you think. Keep smiling and stay charitable.

Wed - Unemployment rates can become a major problem

U. S. job creation was largely off the pace when fewer people added jobs than expected.  Robinhood markets continued yesterday's rally, climbing as much as 17% in the premarket session on Wednesday. Cathie wood's revealed that it had nearly 4000 shares of this stock as of august 4. About 9 million Robinhood shares with a market value of almost 230 million seem to be boosting traders' confidence in the financial services firm's stock.  The price of precious metals rose on Wed after a report released by ADP national employment report showed that the number of jobs in the private sector of the united states grew by weaker than expected.  For the third day in a row the price of oil fell on wednesday as investors remained concerned over the spread of the coronavirus delta variant particularly in regard to the large oil consumers.  General Motors Co. in the second quarter of fiscal 2021, reported 104% surge from the same timeframe in 2020. Let me know what you think. Kee...

Tuesday - The pandemic of unvaccinated people

Shares on Wall Street ended the session on Tuesday higher on the back of solid earnings, which pushed the Dow Jones Industrial Average over 250 points. Cyclical stocks reaped the benefits of signs of a strong economic recovery from the pandemic, with shares of banks and industrial companies posting gains during today's session. investors are waiting for the Jul jobs report scheduled for Fri. the dow jones was up by 278 points; the top-performing company included IBM. the s&p 500 rose, as shares of Moderna rocketed 11. 51%.  Bitcoin fell below the 38000 mark on Tue after a statement from the sec chairman Gensler criticized the issuance of cryptocurrencies. in a speech given at the aspen security forum Gensler called for more authority for the sec to regulate crypto markets which he called the wild west with widespread rife.  On Tuesday, prices of oil futures extended yesterday's losses sparked by fears over the impact of the Delta coronavirus strain on future econ...

Monday - Is an inverse correction inevitable this year?

 Shares in the major US stock market are trading lower this morning. The main reason is the mixed feeling that Q1 results are posting. On one hand we can see a lot of growth compared to last year, but if we focus on the overall Q1 only, a lot of companies weren't able to continue the momentum they got last year, specially in tech. The divergence between Nasdaq and DOJ has become a norm, which is historically rare, except for the years associated with the internet bubble. Strong economical data is flashing a sell signal because historical data shows that all time highs in manufacturing and Services PMI stalls the market for 3 to 6 months. Another factor is the the fact that the stock market is priced for perfection; S&P's forward price-to-earnings ratio is at its highest since the 90s. Finally seasonal sell effect is around the corner while May is approaching.  Let me know what you think. Keep smiling and stay charitable.

Friday - What is the impact of jobless claim a year from now?

 Shares on the US stock market are pointing to a positive open this morning after moving around the flat line the whole night. This is the continuation of yesterday's record highs in day gain by DOJ based of better than expected jobless claims and consumer's spending. Jobless claims started off with nearly 7 million in Apr 2020, and still about 19 million people are collecting jobless benefits. With these numbers and the terrible economy, it seems 576000 new claims means the situation is in a recovery. However, the long term impacts of such employments is still unknown. Oxford released a research that found that the rate of cerebral venous sinus thrombosis or blood clots in Pfizer and Moderna is similar to AstraZeneca vaccine; 4 in 1 million vs 5 in a million respectively. This is another proof that the global concerns around AstraZeneca was more political than scientific. Read more on this here .

Thursday - Is Bitcoin going to be the most valuable currency?

US Stock market is pointing to a higher open this morning with the earning season having a positive outlook. Business inventories and jobless claims are other points to watch today. Bitcoin is near all time high after Coinbase went public yesterday. A majority of the investors are shamed to remain poor by speculating a bubble in the crypto world, while Bitcoin has become the 5th largest currency, surpassing the British Pound. Let me know what you think. Keep smiling and stay charitable.

Wednesday - How will the Q1 results impact the market?

 Stock market is mostly unchanged today after a negative reaction earlier this week to the Q1 reports which are set to come out. Some sectors are recovering from the last year's dip such as the finance. Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs reported impressive Q1 results today. Coinbase, cryptocurrency exchange, is set to join Nasdaq today. Bitcoin reached $63000 USD after this news. Stock market asset managers are mostly not in favor of cryptocurrecies or they think there is a bubble. Let me know what you think. Keep smiling and stay charitable.

Monday - What Does Warren Buffet's DotCom Indicator Predicts' Today?

 Stocks set to fall after record highs on Fri. DOJ is 100 points lower this morning due to Biden's infrastructure discussions later today. Also early earning news are expected to flow in for the first quarter this week. Uber's delivery recovery is faster than expected to a level that they don't have enough drivers. Microsoft announced Nuance acquisition for $19.7 billion, including Nuance's debt. This will increase healthcare provider space by 100%; in addressable market.  Warren Buffet's indicator, regarding the value of the country's publicly traded stocks divide by its gross national products, is alarming. This ratio was very high in the late 90's which predicted the DotCom bubble. Now it's high again making people like Elon Musk giving it a spotlight on twitter. Let me know what you think. Keep smiling and stay charitable.

Friday - How is the promising economical growth impacting the stock market?

 Stock futures are pointing to a mixed open this morning. DOJ is slightly slightly higher and Nasdaq is cautiously lower; around 0.2%. While the airline industry tanked last year due to travel limitation, they have been pushing higher since the 4th quarter. However, the levels are yet to reach pre-pandemic. This suggests a long term investment opportunity. I wrote on Tue about the impact of a fall in the economy on the stock market's prospects. But what will happen when the economy bursts with flying colors? Obviously if you consider the current situation, you can see how the economy is reverting back. Although the stock market didn't stay in the dips like the economy for a long time, the reversal in the economical situation should have an impact. I believe the impact could be negative, but a short term one. Because, when the economy begins to have positive prospects ahead of it, it could be a bull situation for the market too. Consider this, the stimulus checks that the gover...

Tuesday - Is the stock market growth a never ending trend?

 Stocks on Wall Street fell in the pre-market after yesterday's record highs in DOJ and S&P. Investors are awaiting the job report which is due later today. Biden is set to announce a shift in the vaccination deadline by making everyone in the US eligible to be vaccinated by Apr 19th. Although Amazon was on track for growing it's presence in the digital ad market in the US, the pandemic has accelerated that. They increased their share from 7.8% in 2019 to 10.3% in 2020 and predicting 12.8 by 2023. Despite the fact that over 533 million Facebook users were hacked ver the weekend (users phone numbers, names, locations and email addresses were exposed), but the stock price hit record high on Mon. Recently I have noticed the fact that when the economy is not n a good situation it will eventually become a positive effect for the stock market. Because, such situation begs for a bright future and the stock market loves bragging on a positive prospect. The challenge however, is tha...

Monday - Market is going to react positively to the new jobs added

 Stock futures are pointing at a solid positive open this morning. This is the first trading after the news of adding 916k jobs, mostly to the hospitality sections, so it's the first chance investors will have to react to it. Stocks have been expected to have a much bigger correction this but they are still going up, with S&P hitting records highs every once in a while. The reason is  simply because the earnings have been high; not for small businesses obviously but for the giants who have been dictating the direction of the market. Keep smiling and stay charitable. 

Thursday - Elon Musk Keeps Hyping Its Investment On DogeCoin

 Stock futures and NASDAQ are higher this morning based on Biden's $2.3 trillion package aiming at infrastructure and jobs. However, the jobless claims increased unexpectedly to 719000; only for the last week of Mar. Pfizer and BioNTech showed high efficacy against Covid for six month. The vaccines prevented the contagion by 91.3%, and 100% effective in sever cases. Apple has reached a deal with Tesla to power up its Northern California farm with solar panels.  DogeCoin surged 20% after Elon Musk tweeted about SpaceX putting a literal coin on the moon. Keep smiling and stay charitable.

Wednesday - Biden continues Trump's fight with EU through AstraZeneca

 NASDAQ and S&P are headed towards a higher open this morning, ahead of ADP's employment data for Mar. This is while Wall street's earning forecasts were revised down last week due to bing-spending slowing down with public restriction easing. The good news seems to be priced in the market, while the bad is yet to test the waters. While Pfizer continues the good news, such as the 100% efficacy on children younger than 12 and bringing the hope of school opening from Sep, AstraZeneca seems to be disappointing. This is the continuation of Trump's efforts by pressurizing Europe. Trump's method was a fist fight, going after tariffs such as Germany's auto makers or France's wine. However, Biden's method is more difficult to blame because it's hard to evaluate and monetize the impact of such policies compared to the tariff's war. The propaganda on AstraZeneca has put a lot of doubt on recipient's minds that's obviously going to be painful for EU ...

Monday - Promises For Propping Up The Market Are Under Way

 S&P hit records high on Fri and this is the last week of the first quarter with a highly prospect economy recovery, which is the tone set by the Wall Street. Although the Suez canal is unblocked but the damage seems to remain for a while which has pushed the oil price higher. UiPath is a robotic process automation technology that has filed for IPO. ThredUp is online business for used clothing and the stock went up from $14 to $20 on the first day. Keep smiling and stay charitable.

Friday - Stock Market Is Still Looking For A News Catalyst To Get Back On Track

 Stock are still under pressure. While NASDAQ has dropped below its recent flatline, DOW has gained a bit. It seems, the summer and the hope for socializing has kept people away from investing. Crude futures gained due to Suez canal blockage continuing to disrupt the supply. Microsoft is in talks with Discord Inc., a messaging platform, to purchase it for around $10B. Xiaomi's shares surged over 8% based on in-house chip development. WeWork has signed a new deal to go public. Keep smiling and stay charitable.

Thursday - Justification For Propping Up The Stock Market Are In Work

US Stocks are pointing to a lower open this morning, specially S&P. However, better than expected jobless claims and Powell's remark on sustainable debt could be positive for the market in the short term. Suez canal blockage is preventing $9.6B daily traffic. However after a 5% raise in the oil market, it's a bit lower now. Tesla is enabling customers to purchase its cars with Bitcoin. Ford will go all electric by 2026. Keep smiling and stay charitable.

Friday - Who Will Be The Winners Of 2021?

 NASDAQ and S&P500 are hit with another gain in the yield market. Today, equities on Wall Street were higher in the premarket after yesterday's drop in tech. Beijing might be limiting the use of Tesla in China because they are concerned the cameras could send sensitive information to the US along with the owner's personal data. Oil import from Iran to China has surged and there is a chance of sanction for China. this is while Houthis are fighting back Riyadh by attacking oil reserves, due to the saudis oppressions in Yemen. Stocks hit records high on Fed's comments on Wed and then they drop on Thu because investor gave the Fed's statement more thought. It seems the market is in an irrational mode right now and people genuinely don't know where to invest. However, the data shows that the stimulus money won't be gambled on the like of GameStop but rather it will be spent on traveling. Let me know what you think. Keep smiling and stay charitable.

Tuesday - Market Is Adjusting Towards Post-COVID Era

 DOW is lower this morning due to 3% decrease in retail sale. NASDAQ is edging higher this morning.  industrial production was down 2.2% in Feb, compared to previous month. Market is adjusting based on what is needed in 2021 rather than the hyped stocks dues to Covid. Keep smiling and stay charitable.

Monday - 60% of Fund Managers Underperform S&P

The futures are pointing to a higher open on Dow and S&P this morning, with NASDAQ to continue being under pressure.  Bitcoin hit another record high at $61k this weekend but currently lower by 5%. More than 60% of fund managers weren't able to beat S&P's performance last year. Apparently such big number has been happening for nearly a decade, which should make a lot of us proud of beating these levels on yearly basis. Specially we shouldn't get into the feelings of bothering ourselves about not investing more or why we didn't catch a perfect low or a high. A consistent gain is perfect enough. Let me know what you think. Keep smiling and stay charitable.

Friday - NASDAQ's Fall Continues With Hopes Of Restriction Reliefs

NASDAQ futures continues the downwards trend with futures to be lower due to the rise in bond yield. Treasury yield rose after the stimulus package was approved. Also Biden announced tht all adults will get the vaccination by May and outside gathering could get an ease by Jul. US producer prices are on the rise indicating an inflation.  It seems we can safely get back to the investing, however tech related stocks should have direct relation with people starting to go out and perhaps traveling. Smaller business could get a boost. Keep smiling and stay charitable.